With significant reductions in emissions likely to require decades and the impacts of
projected climate change likely to become more and more severe, proposals for taking
deliberate action to counterbalance global warming have been proposed as an important
complement to reducing emissions. While a number of geoengineering approaches
have been proposed, each introduces uncertainties, complications and unintended
consequences that have only begun to be explored. For limiting and reversing global
climate change over periods of years to decades, solar radiation management,
particularly injection of sulfate aerosols into the stratosphere, has emerged as the
leading approach, with mesospheric reflectors and satellite deflectors also receiving
attention. For a number of reasons, tropospheric approaches to solar radiation
management present greater challenges if the objective is to reduce the increase in global
average temperature. However, such approaches have a number of advantages if
the objective is to alleviate specific consequences of climate change expected
to cause significant impacts for the environment and society. Among the most
damaging aspects of the climate that might be countered are: the warming of
low-latitude oceans that observations suggest contribute to more intense tropical
cyclones and coral bleaching; the amplified warming of high latitudes and the
associated melting of ice that has been accelerating sea level rise and altering
mid-latitude weather; and the projected reduction in the loading and cooling influence of
sulfate aerosols, which has the potential to augment warming sufficient to trigger
methane and carbon feedbacks. For each of these impacts, suitable scientific,
technological, socioeconomic, and governance research has the potential to lead to
tropospheric geoengineering approaches that, with a well-funded research program,
could begin playing a moderating role for some aspects of climate change within a
decade. |